Kamilla Rakhimova produced one of the biggest upsets at Wimbledon 2025 by defeating fourth seed Jasmine Paolini in the second round on Thursday. Rakhimova rallied for a 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 victory in a match that lasted just under two hours and twenty minutes, sending Paolini home early and contributing to a series of shocking results among top seeds at the tournament[1][5].
This marks Rakhimova’s first career win over a top-10 player and only her second Wimbledon main draw appearance, having lost in the first round in her 2023 debut. The 23-year-old Russian has now reached the third round in a major for just the third time in her career, after previously achieving this feat at the French Open and US Open[5].
With this win, Rakhimova advances to face Linda Noskova in the third round on Friday. Predictive models, however, give Rakhimova just a 20% chance of prevailing against Noskova, who is considered a strong favorite with an 80% chance to win the match[3].
Despite her impressive Wimbledon run, Rakhimova’s overall season in 2025 has been challenging. She currently holds a 4-11 win-loss record for the year, with a career singles record of 156-148 and is ranked No. 83 in the WTA rankings as of July 2025[2]. Her recent performances indicate significant inconsistency, with a win percentage of just 26.7% this season[2].
Rakhimova’s career-high singles ranking is No. 60, achieved in December 2024, and she also reached a high of No. 63 in doubles in January 2025. She has won three WTA doubles titles and one WTA Challenger singles title in her career[4][6].